DIB 22 OCT 2024

BTC Daily Intelligence Bulletin (DIB)
Block: 866,845
DTG/ICOD: 0800EST 22Oct24
Precedence: Routine (RR)
Controls: Public Release
QQQQ
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BLUF: US Investigates Major Intelligence Leak / Skepticism Swirls Around Moldovan Vote / IDF Claims Hezbollah Hiding Cash, Gold / Musk’s Giveaway Sparks Media Criticism / Harris Leads in 4 Swing States, Trump Ahead in 2 / India Favors CBDC, Leans Towards Crypto Ban / Most Russian Trade Has De-Dollarized / IMF Says Higher Prices Here to Stay / Crypto Payment Processor Transak Suffers Data Breach / Bitcoin ETFs See Heavy Outflows

Market Data: Price: 1 BTC= $67,247, 24.52 oz Gold, .16 Median US House
24hr Hi: $68,395 / Lo: $66,581
Vol: $38.1B
Mkt Cap: $1.3T
HashRate: 714 EH/s
Avg Fees: 3,424 sats/tx
Nodes: 18,893

—Reports—
-International Events-
1.  US Investigates Major Intelligence Leak: The U.S. Department of Defense and FBI are investigating a potential major intelligence leak involving classified information about Israel’s plans to strike Iran. Two documents marked “top secret” surfaced on social media, purportedly showing U.S. military analysis of Israeli operations, including details about the movement of military equipment and munitions. The leaked documents, which appear to have been shared with the Five Eyes intelligence alliance, were posted on a Telegram channel called Middle East Spectator. While the source of the leak is unknown, investigators are focusing on individuals with access to the material, including those working for or with the U.S. government. The White House has expressed deep concern about the leak, and lawmakers are likely to have serious questions about how another major public disclosure of classified information could occur following the recent Jack Teixeira case. (ABC News)

2. Skepticism Swirls Around Moldovan Vote: The Kremlin has expressed skepticism about the results of Moldova’s constitutional referendum on EU membership, where the “Yes” vote narrowly won with 50.31% after nearly all votes were counted. Previously, Western governments had accused Russia of spreading disinformation and interfering in the referendum. Kremlin spokesman Dmitry Peskov questioned the sudden change in results, which had initially shown the “No” vote leading. In the presidential election held simultaneously, incumbent President Maia Sandu received about 42% of the votes, necessitating a runoff on Nov. 3 with Russia-friendly candidate Alexandr Stoianoglo, who earned around 26%. Peskov rejected Sandu’s accusations of Russian interference in the election, challenging her to provide evidence and questioning her characterization of opposition voters. Earlier, Moldovan police had uncovered an alleged vote-buying scheme linked to a Russian-based businessman, involving millions of dollars sent from Russia to influence the election and referendum. (The Moscow Times)

3. IDF Claims Hezbollah Hiding Cash, Gold: The Israel Defense Forces (IDF) has claimed that Hezbollah, an Iran-backed terror group, is hiding over $500 million in gold and cash in a secret bunker beneath the al-Sahel hospital in Beirut, Lebanon. IDF spokesperson Rear Adm. Daniel Hagari stated that while the Israeli Air Force is monitoring the vault, there are no plans to target the structure. The bunker, allegedly connected to the hospital, contains beds, rooms for extended stays, and operational command spaces. It was reportedly previously used by Hassan Nasrallah, Hezbollah’s deceased leader. Hagari appealed to Lebanese authorities to inspect the site and prevent Hezbollah from using the funds for terrorist activities. The IDF also detailed Hezbollah’s financial operations, including transfers from Iran through oil sales in Syria and direct cash deliveries to the Iranian Embassy in Beirut. The hospital’s director reportedly announced its evacuation following the IDF’s statements. (Fox News)

-US Events-
1. Musk’s Giveaway Sparks Media Criticism: Elon Musk’s $1 million daily giveaway for voters signing his free-speech and gun-rights petition has sparked media outrage and debate among legal experts about its potential violation of election laws. The promotion, which requires signers to be registered voters in key battleground states, has raised concerns about inducing voter registration, though some experts argue it falls into a legal gray area. Musk’s America PAC, funded with at least $75 million from the billionaire, aims to play a significant role in mobilizing voters in crucial states. The media’s response to this giveaway appears disproportionately critical, potentially reflecting bias against Musk’s recent support for Republican causes and former President Donald Trump. While some officials have called for investigations, the lack of consensus among legal experts highlights the complexity of the issue and the need for careful consideration of election law boundaries. (Reuters)

2. Harris Leads in 4 Swing States, Trump Ahead in 2: Vice President Kamala Harris holds slim leads over former President Donald Trump in four critical battleground states (Georgia, Michigan, Pennsylvania, and Wisconsin), while Trump is slightly ahead in Arizona and North Carolina, according to a recent Washington Post-Schar School poll. The two candidates are tied in Nevada, with 48 percent support each. The survey, conducted among 5,016 voters in seven swing states between September 29 and October 15, highlights the tight race in key states that will likely determine the outcome of the upcoming presidential election. With Election Day approaching, both candidates are focusing their efforts on these crucial battleground states, with Harris spending significant time in Georgia and Trump concentrating on winning back Arizona. (The Hill)
AC: It is interesting that media organizations like The Washington Post would release a poll with data that is up to three weeks old, particularly when many indicators show the momentum has swung in the direction of the former president.

-Regulatory and Legal-
NSTR

-Institutional Concerns-
NSTR

-Central Bank Digital Currencies (CBDC)-
1. India Favors CBDC, Leans Towards Crypto Ban: Indian regulators are leaning towards banning private cryptocurrencies like Bitcoin and Ethereum, emphasizing the benefits of Central Bank Digital Currencies (CBDCs) as a safer alternative. The government’s position aligns with the IMF-FSB synthesis paper, which allows for stricter measures including complete bans on cryptocurrencies. India’s digital rupee (e₹) CBDC pilot has already reached over 5 million users, with 16 banks participating since its launch in late 2022. While cryptocurrencies are not legal tender in India, the country has established a tax framework for Virtual Digital Assets (VDAs), including a 30% tax on profits and a 1% Tax Deducted at Source (TDS) on transactions exceeding INR 10,000 in a financial year. (Cryptopolitan)

-Economic Indicators-
1. Most Russian Trade Has De-Dollarized: Russian President Vladimir Putin has criticized U.S. sanctions, stating they are driving global economies away from the U.S. dollar and leading to its declining use in international trade and reserves. Putin revealed that Russia now conducts 95% of its foreign trade in national currencies due to these sanctions. He emphasized the growing economic influence of BRICS nations, which now surpass the G7 in global GDP share and contribute significantly to global economic growth. Putin predicted this trend would continue, with BRICS countries’ average economic growth rate projected at 4% this year, compared to 1.7% for G7 countries. Additionally, Russia and Iran have reportedly shifted to using national currencies for over 96% of their mutual payments. (Bitcoin com)

2. IMF Says Higher Prices Here to Stay: IMF Managing Director Kristalina Georgieva says higher prices are likely to persist, adding to economic challenges stemming from slow growth and high debt levels. Georgieva emphasized that the pain from increased prices is here to stay, causing anger among people worldwide. While the global economy is performing reasonably well, with growth expected to be above 3%, concerns remain, including slightly slower trade growth compared to overall global growth. The IMF chief also claimed that climate risks are negatively impacting some countries’ economic prospects. These statements were made ahead of the IMF and World Bank annual meetings, where global economic challenges and potential solutions will be discussed among finance ministers, central bankers, and special interest groups. (Yahoo Finance)

-Security Incidents and Concerns-
1. Crypto Payment Processor Transak Suffers Data Breach: Transak, a cryptocurrency payment processor used by major platforms like Metamask and Binance, has reported a data breach affecting 93,000 users. The breach occurred when an employee used their work laptop for non-work activities, leading to the execution of a malicious script that compromised the system. While Transak claims the leaked data is limited to names and basic identity information, a ransomware group alleges they have obtained 300GB of sensitive data, including financial statements and user selfies. Transak’s CEO, Sami Start, has stated that the company is not interested in negotiating with the ransomware group and has notified law enforcement and data regulators about the incident. (CoinDesk)

-Bitcoin Community-
1. ETFs See Heavy Outflows: Spot bitcoin exchange-traded funds (ETFs) experienced their heaviest outflows in four months on Tuesday, with investors withdrawing over $287 million amid a broader market selloff and declining cryptocurrency prices. Fidelity led the redemptions with outflows of more than $162 million from its FBTC fund, while Grayscale, Ark 21Shares, and Bitwise also saw significant withdrawals. The total assets under management for spot bitcoin ETFs have fallen to around $52.6 billion, $10 billion below their peak, largely due to the recent decline in bitcoin’s price from its March high of over $73,000 to about $58,400. Spot ether ETFs, launched in July, have also experienced a challenging period, with total assets down to approximately $6.7 billion from $10.2 billion at launch. (CNBC)

-Bitcoin Sentiment-
1. Fear(0)/Greed(100) Index: 70/100

Analyst Comments (AC):

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Analyst: BV2B
END REPORT
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*NSTR-Nothing Significant To Report